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How the NBA Prop Finder Works

Tonight vs Custom line

Tonight lists every player with a posted line on the selected date's games and grades each one against his own line. The line shown is Hard Rock Bet's when Hard Rock posts one; otherwise it is the most evenly priced two-sided line among the other books we track (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, ESPN BET, Fanatics, BetRivers, Bally Bet, Pinnacle). Lines are captured around 11 AM and 4 PM CT and again about an hour before each tip, so a number can lag the book by a few hours. Choose All props to rank every market at once.

Custom line applies one prop and one line to every player in a season — use it to back-test a number or to research before lines post.

Hit rates

Over = share of games the stat finished above the line; Under = below it. A push (stat exactly on a whole-number line) is a miss for both sides. Only games the player actually played count — games marked DNP and zero-minute appearances are left out. Games a player left early still count. Regular season only unless Include playoffs is checked (play-in games count as playoffs). All-Star games never count.

Season % covers this season. Until a player has 5 games this season it shows last season's rate instead, tagged with that season (e.g. '25-26). L5 / L10 / L20 are the player's last 5, 10 and 20 games and carry across the season break, so they work on opening night. H2H is the hit rate against tonight's opponent over this season and last (the number of games is shown).

Filters

Home/Away and Rest change which past games the rates are computed over. Rest is days off before the game: B2B is the second night of a back-to-back, then 1 day, 2+ days. Match tonight uses the rest situation of tonight's game (shown in the Rest column).

Min minutes (average over the last 10 games) and Starters only (started at least 5 of the last 10) remove bench players whose low lines are easy to clear. Min games applies to the games behind Season %. The Min % floors drop rows below a Season / L5 / L10 rate.

Opp rank ≥ keeps players whose opponent tonight is soft against their position for that stat. Opp Rank ranks all 30 defenses by what they allow per game to guards, forwards or centers in that stat: 1 = allows the least, 30 = allows the most. Until a team has played 10 games this season the rank uses last season.

Game log

Log opens the player's recent games with the stat, minutes, rest, the closing line we captured for that game (once available) and whether it beat the line shown.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

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Points Over 19.5 · '25-26 · Regular season · 582 rows
Player Team GP Min/G Avg Season % L5 L10 L20
Bennedict Mathurin
G
LAC 54 24.7 17.6 42.6% 20.0% 30.0% 45.0%
Peyton Watson
G
DEN 54 27.2 14.6 29.6% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0%
Aaron Nesmith
G
IND 45 30.0 13.8 15.6% 20.0% 30.0% 20.0%
Terrence Shannon Jr.
G
MIN 43 16.1 5.6 7.0% 60.0% 30.0% 15.0%
Devin Carter
G
SAC 38 28.7 8.9 10.5% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0%
Jalen Williams
G
OKC 33 23.9 17.1 33.3% 20.0% 30.0% 35.0%
Tyler Herro
G
MIA 33 32.4 20.5 60.6% 20.0% 30.0% 50.0%
Daeqwon Plowden
G
SAC 32 29.9 10.8 12.5% 20.0% 30.0% 20.0%
Kristaps Porzingis
C
GS 32 24.9 16.7 34.4% 20.0% 30.0% 30.0%
Scoot Henderson
G
POR 30 27.6 14.2 16.7% 20.0% 30.0% 25.0%
Keegan Murray
F
SAC 23 30.6 14.0 21.7% 20.0% 30.0% 20.0%
Domantas Sabonis
F
SAC 19 27.4 15.8 26.3% 40.0% 30.0% 30.0%
Dariq Whitehead
F
MEM 6 24.9 16.3 50.0% 60.0% 30.0% 15.0%
Bub Carrington
G
WSH 82 27.9 10.7 7.3% 40.0% 20.0% 15.0%
Reed Sheppard
G
HOU 82 25.3 13.5 14.6% 0.0% 20.0% 15.0%
Derik Queen
C
NO 81 27.7 11.7 13.6% 40.0% 20.0% 10.0%
AJ Green
G
MIL 78 33.3 10.4 6.4% 40.0% 20.0% 10.0%
Sam Hauser
F
BOS 78 27.0 9.2 6.4% 20.0% 20.0% 10.0%
Baylor Scheierman
G
BOS 77 24.3 5.5 2.6% 40.0% 20.0% 10.0%
Matas Buzelis
F
CHI 77 30.9 16.3 31.2% 20.0% 20.0% 45.0%
Miles Bridges
F
CHA 77 28.1 17.1 32.5% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0%
Jarace Walker
F
IND 76 28.4 11.6 10.5% 0.0% 20.0% 15.0%
Quentin Grimes
G
PHI 75 25.0 13.4 20.0% 40.0% 20.0% 40.0%
Precious Achiuwa
PF
SAC 73 29.3 10.1 11.0% 20.0% 20.0% 25.0%
Daniss Jenkins
G
DET 72 29.4 9.3 9.7% 0.0% 20.0% 20.0%
Deandre Ayton
C
LAL 72 24.8 12.5 19.4% 40.0% 20.0% 15.0%
Isaiah Joe
G
OKC 71 17.2 11.1 15.5% 40.0% 20.0% 15.0%
Bones Hyland
G
MIN 70 25.2 8.6 8.6% 20.0% 20.0% 15.0%
Pelle Larsson
G
MIA 70 30.2 11.4 11.4% 20.0% 20.0% 15.0%
Simone Fontecchio
F
MIA 70 16.1 8.5 5.7% 20.0% 20.0% 10.0%
Ayo Dosunmu
G
MIN 69 32.6 14.8 20.3% 20.0% 20.0% 10.0%
Chet Holmgren
C
OKC 69 26.1 17.1 33.3% 40.0% 20.0% 25.0%
Jaylen Wells
F
MEM 69 25.0 12.5 10.1% 0.0% 20.0% 15.0%
John Collins
F
LAC 69 24.6 13.6 11.6% 20.0% 20.0% 10.0%
Kyle Kuzma
F
MIL 69 23.1 13.0 13.0% 40.0% 20.0% 15.0%
Andrew Wiggins
F
MIA 68 27.9 15.4 20.6% 40.0% 20.0% 20.0%
Rui Hachimura
F
LAL 68 25.9 11.5 10.3% 40.0% 20.0% 10.0%
Jaxson Hayes
C
LAL 66 22.2 7.5 3.0% 20.0% 20.0% 10.0%
Gary Trent Jr.
G
MIL 65 21.6 8.1 6.2% 20.0% 20.0% 10.0%
Paul Reed
F
DET 65 17.3 7.8 6.2% 20.0% 20.0% 10.0%
Rob Dillingham
G
CHI 65 22.8 6.3 3.1% 40.0% 20.0% 10.0%
Tobias Harris
F
DET 63 25.7 13.3 15.9% 20.0% 20.0% 15.0%
Cedric Coward
F
MEM 62 24.4 13.6 11.3% 20.0% 20.0% 10.0%
Micah Peavy
G
NO 61 21.0 4.3 3.3% 40.0% 20.0% 10.0%
Andrew Nembhard
G
IND 57 29.7 16.9 36.8% 20.0% 20.0% 40.0%
Jaden Hardy
G
WSH 57 21.4 9.2 5.3% 0.0% 20.0% 10.0%
Jalen Suggs
G
ORL 57 30.6 13.8 21.1% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0%
Julian Strawther
G
DEN 57 16.9 7.2 7.0% 40.0% 20.0% 10.0%
Josh Giddey
G
CHI 54 33.6 17.0 37.0% 20.0% 20.0% 30.0%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
F
MEM 52 23.3 10.2 7.7% 40.0% 20.0% 10.0%
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