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How the NBA Prop Finder Works

Tonight vs Custom line

Tonight lists every player with a posted line on the selected date's games and grades each one against his own line. The line shown is Hard Rock Bet's when Hard Rock posts one; otherwise it is the most evenly priced two-sided line among the other books we track (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, ESPN BET, Fanatics, BetRivers, Bally Bet, Pinnacle). Lines are captured around 11 AM and 4 PM CT and again about an hour before each tip, so a number can lag the book by a few hours. Choose All props to rank every market at once.

Custom line applies one prop and one line to every player in a season — use it to back-test a number or to research before lines post.

Hit rates

Over = share of games the stat finished above the line; Under = below it. A push (stat exactly on a whole-number line) is a miss for both sides. Only games the player actually played count — games marked DNP and zero-minute appearances are left out. Games a player left early still count. Regular season only unless Include playoffs is checked (play-in games count as playoffs). All-Star games never count.

Season % covers this season. Until a player has 5 games this season it shows last season's rate instead, tagged with that season (e.g. '25-26). L5 / L10 / L20 are the player's last 5, 10 and 20 games and carry across the season break, so they work on opening night. H2H is the hit rate against tonight's opponent over this season and last (the number of games is shown).

Filters

Home/Away and Rest change which past games the rates are computed over. Rest is days off before the game: B2B is the second night of a back-to-back, then 1 day, 2+ days. Match tonight uses the rest situation of tonight's game (shown in the Rest column).

Min minutes (average over the last 10 games) and Starters only (started at least 5 of the last 10) remove bench players whose low lines are easy to clear. Min games applies to the games behind Season %. The Min % floors drop rows below a Season / L5 / L10 rate.

Opp rank ≥ keeps players whose opponent tonight is soft against their position for that stat. Opp Rank ranks all 30 defenses by what they allow per game to guards, forwards or centers in that stat: 1 = allows the least, 30 = allows the most. Until a team has played 10 games this season the rank uses last season.

Game log

Log opens the player's recent games with the stat, minutes, rest, the closing line we captured for that game (once available) and whether it beat the line shown.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

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Points Over 19.5 · '25-26 · Regular season · 582 rows
Player Team GP Min/G Avg Season % L5 L10 L20
Lauri Markkanen
F
UTAH 42 29.2 26.7 76.2% 40.0% 50.0% 75.0%
Jimmy Butler III
F
GS 38 29.7 20.0 55.3% 40.0% 50.0% 45.0%
Kevin Porter Jr.
G
MIL 38 31.9 17.4 42.1% 20.0% 50.0% 40.0%
Ja Morant
G
MEM 20 26.1 19.5 45.0% 80.0% 50.0% 45.0%
Ty Jerome
G
MEM 15 24.0 19.7 46.7% 60.0% 50.0% 50.0%
Toumani Camara
F
POR 82 33.3 13.4 13.4% 40.0% 40.0% 20.0%
Payton Pritchard
G
BOS 79 31.4 17.0 34.2% 40.0% 40.0% 25.0%
Brandon Ingram
F
TOR 77 31.8 21.5 58.4% 60.0% 40.0% 45.0%
DeMar DeRozan
G
SAC 77 27.5 18.4 42.9% 60.0% 40.0% 35.0%
Jabari Smith Jr.
F
HOU 77 35.9 15.8 22.1% 40.0% 40.0% 35.0%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
F
MIA 75 27.2 15.4 29.3% 60.0% 40.0% 35.0%
Naji Marshall
F
DAL 74 30.4 15.2 23.0% 20.0% 40.0% 30.0%
Saddiq Bey
G
NO 72 33.0 17.7 38.9% 40.0% 40.0% 45.0%
Stephon Castle
G
SA 69 30.1 16.6 27.5% 40.0% 40.0% 35.0%
Collin Sexton
G
CHI 68 29.2 15.4 23.5% 20.0% 40.0% 45.0%
OG Anunoby
F
NY 68 33.8 16.9 41.2% 60.0% 40.0% 45.0%
Cody Williams
F
UTAH 67 35.2 8.8 9.0% 20.0% 40.0% 30.0%
Trey Murphy III
F
NO 66 35.3 21.5 59.1% 20.0% 40.0% 55.0%
Evan Mobley
C
CLE 65 29.1 18.2 38.5% 40.0% 40.0% 45.0%
Cade Cunningham
G
DET 64 27.6 23.9 68.8% 20.0% 40.0% 50.0%
Zion Williamson
F
NO 62 30.0 21.0 66.1% 20.0% 40.0% 55.0%
Moses Moody
G
GS 60 31.1 12.1 18.3% 40.0% 40.0% 25.0%
Norman Powell
G
MIA 58 25.8 21.7 67.2% 20.0% 40.0% 50.0%
Bilal Coulibaly
G
WSH 56 24.8 11.7 12.5% 20.0% 40.0% 30.0%
Dillon Brooks
F
PHX 56 26.9 20.2 53.6% 20.0% 40.0% 55.0%
Anfernee Simons
G
CHI 55 26.6 14.3 21.8% 40.0% 40.0% 30.0%
GG Jackson
F
MEM 54 25.1 12.7 18.5% 40.0% 40.0% 35.0%
Keyonte George
G
UTAH 54 27.0 23.6 63.0% 60.0% 40.0% 55.0%
Jrue Holiday
G
POR 53 31.4 16.3 37.7% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0%
Austin Reaves
G
LAL 51 36.8 23.3 52.9% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0%
Darius Garland
G
LAC 45 29.6 18.8 46.7% 20.0% 40.0% 55.0%
Obi Toppin
F
IND 24 19.0 11.6 20.8% 60.0% 40.0% 20.0%
Trae Young
G
WSH 15 24.3 17.9 46.7% 20.0% 40.0% 55.0%
Cormac Ryan
G
MIL 11 26.2 14.3 36.4% 60.0% 40.0% —
Kon Knueppel
G
CHA 81 31.9 18.5 44.4% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0%
Scottie Barnes
F
TOR 80 30.3 18.1 35.0% 20.0% 30.0% 25.0%
Amen Thompson
G
HOU 79 39.0 18.3 41.8% 60.0% 30.0% 50.0%
Nique Clifford
G
SAC 75 34.6 8.6 6.7% 60.0% 30.0% 20.0%
VJ Edgecombe
G
PHI 75 34.8 16.0 30.7% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0%
Maxime Raynaud
C
SAC 74 31.8 12.5 17.6% 60.0% 30.0% 45.0%
De'Aaron Fox
G
SA 73 29.0 18.5 42.5% 40.0% 30.0% 40.0%
Ace Bailey
G
UTAH 72 31.7 13.8 22.2% 40.0% 30.0% 35.0%
Luka Garza
C
BOS 69 19.3 8.1 4.3% 40.0% 30.0% 15.0%
Gui Santos
F
GS 68 29.7 9.2 7.4% 20.0% 30.0% 25.0%
Rayan Rupert
G
MEM 64 32.9 5.2 4.7% 40.0% 30.0% 15.0%
Russell Westbrook
G
SAC 64 29.4 15.2 29.7% 20.0% 30.0% 25.0%
Marvin Bagley III
F
DAL 60 20.0 10.5 10.0% 60.0% 30.0% 20.0%
Isaiah Collier
G
UTAH 59 26.7 11.7 10.2% 40.0% 30.0% 30.0%
Jarrett Allen
C
CLE 56 26.0 15.4 23.2% 0.0% 30.0% 40.0%
P.J. Washington
F
DAL 56 31.4 14.2 19.6% 20.0% 30.0% 20.0%
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