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How the NBA Prop Finder Works

Tonight vs Custom line

Tonight lists every player with a posted line on the selected date's games and grades each one against his own line. The line shown is Hard Rock Bet's when Hard Rock posts one; otherwise it is the most evenly priced two-sided line among the other books we track (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, ESPN BET, Fanatics, BetRivers, Bally Bet, Pinnacle). Lines are captured around 11 AM and 4 PM CT and again about an hour before each tip, so a number can lag the book by a few hours. Choose All props to rank every market at once.

Custom line applies one prop and one line to every player in a season — use it to back-test a number or to research before lines post.

Hit rates

Over = share of games the stat finished above the line; Under = below it. A push (stat exactly on a whole-number line) is a miss for both sides. Only games the player actually played count — games marked DNP and zero-minute appearances are left out. Games a player left early still count. Regular season only unless Include playoffs is checked (play-in games count as playoffs). All-Star games never count.

Season % covers this season. Until a player has 5 games this season it shows last season's rate instead, tagged with that season (e.g. '25-26). L5 / L10 / L20 are the player's last 5, 10 and 20 games and carry across the season break, so they work on opening night. H2H is the hit rate against tonight's opponent over this season and last (the number of games is shown).

Filters

Home/Away and Rest change which past games the rates are computed over. Rest is days off before the game: B2B is the second night of a back-to-back, then 1 day, 2+ days. Match tonight uses the rest situation of tonight's game (shown in the Rest column).

Min minutes (average over the last 10 games) and Starters only (started at least 5 of the last 10) remove bench players whose low lines are easy to clear. Min games applies to the games behind Season %. The Min % floors drop rows below a Season / L5 / L10 rate.

Opp rank ≥ keeps players whose opponent tonight is soft against their position for that stat. Opp Rank ranks all 30 defenses by what they allow per game to guards, forwards or centers in that stat: 1 = allows the least, 30 = allows the most. Until a team has played 10 games this season the rank uses last season.

Game log

Log opens the player's recent games with the stat, minutes, rest, the closing line we captured for that game (once available) and whether it beat the line shown.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

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Points Over 19.5 · '25-26 · Regular season · 582 rows
Player Team GP Min/G Avg Season % L5 L10 L20
Jaylen Brown
G
BOS 71 36.1 28.7 90.1% 100.0% 100.0% 90.0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G
OKC 68 31.7 31.1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Kawhi Leonard
F
LAC 65 30.8 27.9 95.4% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Kevin Durant
F
HOU 78 36.1 26.0 82.1% 100.0% 90.0% 80.0%
Jamal Murray
G
DEN 75 37.9 25.4 77.3% 80.0% 90.0% 75.0%
Tyrese Maxey
G
PHI 70 36.6 28.3 90.0% 80.0% 90.0% 95.0%
Devin Booker
G
PHX 64 33.8 26.1 79.7% 100.0% 90.0% 90.0%
Luka Doncic
G
LAL 64 37.3 33.5 93.8% 80.0% 90.0% 95.0%
Joel Embiid
C
PHI 38 33.2 26.9 86.8% 80.0% 90.0% 95.0%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
G
ATL 78 35.2 20.8 59.0% 80.0% 80.0% 75.0%
Deni Avdija
F
POR 66 32.9 24.2 74.2% 100.0% 80.0% 65.0%
Nikola Jokic
C
DEN 65 35.2 27.7 87.7% 60.0% 80.0% 80.0%
Victor Wembanyama
F
SA 65 28.7 24.9 67.7% 80.0% 80.0% 75.0%
Pascal Siakam
F
IND 62 30.4 24.0 79.0% 80.0% 80.0% 80.0%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F
MIL 36 27.7 27.6 88.9% 100.0% 80.0% 85.0%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C
NY 76 29.0 20.0 53.9% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0%
Jalen Brunson
G
NY 75 35.9 26.0 80.0% 60.0% 70.0% 75.0%
Donovan Mitchell
G
CLE 70 33.4 27.9 78.6% 80.0% 70.0% 75.0%
Jalen Duren
C
DET 70 31.8 19.5 48.6% 60.0% 70.0% 70.0%
Jalen Green
G
PHX 32 26.7 17.8 50.0% 40.0% 70.0% 70.0%
Jayson Tatum
F
BOS 16 34.6 21.8 75.0% 100.0% 70.0% 70.0%
Brandin Podziemski
G
GS 82 29.6 13.8 19.5% 40.0% 60.0% 45.0%
Jeremiah Fears
G
NO 82 32.0 14.3 20.7% 80.0% 60.0% 30.0%
Julius Randle
F
MIN 79 32.9 21.1 50.6% 80.0% 60.0% 45.0%
Brice Sensabaugh
F
UTAH 74 30.0 15.1 32.4% 60.0% 60.0% 55.0%
Ryan Rollins
G
MIL 74 31.1 17.3 39.2% 80.0% 60.0% 35.0%
Cooper Flagg
F
DAL 70 31.8 21.0 48.6% 60.0% 60.0% 50.0%
Brandon Miller
F
CHA 65 31.5 20.2 58.5% 60.0% 60.0% 55.0%
Tre Jones
G
CHI 65 26.5 14.1 21.5% 80.0% 60.0% 50.0%
Anthony Edwards
G
MIN 61 31.9 28.8 82.0% 40.0% 60.0% 75.0%
RJ Barrett
F
TOR 57 31.5 19.3 52.6% 60.0% 60.0% 65.0%
Michael Porter Jr.
F
BKN 52 31.6 24.2 71.2% 60.0% 60.0% 60.0%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F
UTAH 48 29.6 19.4 43.8% 80.0% 60.0% 60.0%
Stephen Curry
G
GS 43 27.5 26.6 72.1% 60.0% 60.0% 70.0%
Paul George
F
PHI 37 30.9 17.3 32.4% 40.0% 60.0% 40.0%
Anthony Davis
F
DAL 20 33.3 20.4 60.0% 40.0% 60.0% 60.0%
Desmond Bane
G
ORL 82 29.3 20.1 51.2% 40.0% 50.0% 45.0%
Kyle Filipowski
F
UTAH 77 26.8 11.4 13.0% 60.0% 50.0% 30.0%
CJ McCollum
G
ATL 76 30.1 18.7 42.1% 40.0% 50.0% 40.0%
Will Riley
G
WSH 74 32.6 10.3 13.5% 40.0% 50.0% 40.0%
Bam Adebayo
C
MIA 73 34.2 20.1 53.4% 60.0% 50.0% 70.0%
Alperen Sengun
C
HOU 72 32.2 20.4 47.2% 40.0% 50.0% 45.0%
Jalen Johnson
F
ATL 72 34.6 22.5 63.9% 20.0% 50.0% 60.0%
LaMelo Ball
G
CHA 72 31.2 20.1 48.6% 60.0% 50.0% 60.0%
Paolo Banchero
F
ORL 72 33.2 22.2 62.5% 80.0% 50.0% 60.0%
James Harden
G
CLE 70 34.3 23.6 67.1% 60.0% 50.0% 55.0%
LeBron James
F
LAL 60 32.0 20.9 58.3% 60.0% 50.0% 45.0%
Jerami Grant
F
POR 57 31.1 18.6 45.6% 20.0% 50.0% 50.0%
Daniel Gafford
F
DAL 55 22.9 9.5 10.9% 40.0% 50.0% 25.0%
Shaedon Sharpe
G
POR 50 27.2 20.8 60.0% 20.0% 50.0% 65.0%
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Game Log